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Inventory Shortage Continues to Weaken New Home Sales

Thursday, December 19, 2019

Existing home sales fell back again in November, erasing most of October's 1.9 percent gain. Sales have now declined in two of the last three months. The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) said sales of previously owned single-family houses, townhouses, condominiums, and cooperative apartments were at a seasonally adjusted rate of 5.35 million, down 1.7 percent from the October rate of 5.46 million units. Sales for the month, however, were still up by 2.7 percent from the 5.21 million pace in November 2018. Sales of single-family homes were at a rate of 4.79 million units compared to 4.85 million the previous month, a loss of 1.2 percent but 3.5 percent higher than a year earlier. Coop and condo sales fell even further, 5.1 percent. The annual rate of 560,000 condo sales in November was 3.4 percent below the rate the previous November. The pullback was not unexpected. Analysts polled by Econoday had forecast a consensus sales rate of 5.45 million. NAR's estimate came in just under the low end of the predictions which ranged from 5.37 to 5.55 million units. Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist, said the decline in sales for November is not a cause for worry. "Sales will be choppy when inventory levels are low, but the economy is otherwise performing very well with more than 2 million job gains in the past year," he said.

 

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